Independence Bowl 12/27

So far we're 4-2 through six games, lucky break last night with FIU because it looked to me after watching that game that Toledo was the right side. Hey, I can't bitch about getting no breaks the entire bowl season now..already got one. I hope everyone had a good Christmas. Most probably know this, but we've got an addition to the family coming on 12/29(Wednesday), so I will be paying attention to more important things than making uninformed football picks. Anyway, we move on to tonight:

7. Air Force -2 1/2 v Georgia Tech: You can get this at 2.5 in a lot of online shops,(including Sportsbook.com). My outlets were both -3, but one was even money and the other was -105, so I just bought it to 2.5 for -120. Obviously, this is an interesting game here since both teams are experts at running the option. Also, Paul Johnson and Troy Calhoun are two of my favorite coaches in CFB. Really, I wish they weren't playing each other so I could root for both. Oh well. Overall, this season can be classified as mostly shitty for Georgia Tech. They had a nice win against North Carolina as a dog early in the year, but mostly just played the patsy to the rest of the decent squads on their schedule, even dropping an early game to what turned out to be a horrendous Kansas team coached by home run hire Turner Gill. You remember Turner Gill, right? The guy that the mainstream media said should have gotten the Auburn job over Gene Chizik? Well, the Jackets lost to that guy's team. Tech's defense is terrible..they have had trouble stopping any and all offenses over the past couple of years, even last year in their BCS season. They are ranked 76th in total defense, 93rd agaisnt the run(ypc) and 70th against the pass. Believe it or not, AF can throw it effectively when they want to, ranking second in the country in yards per attempt and 15th in pass efficiency. I can actually see a scnario where Calhoun might see a weakness for Tech make it part of his game plan. GT, on the other hand is pretty much near the bottom in all passing categories, as their ability to throw pretty much left with Demaryius Thomas last year. The one issue with Air Force is their run defense, which was 96th this year, but they handled Navy well, and most of the big yardage they gave up was in games they won...maybe some garbage time situations. They can effectively game plan for the option, and they have experience stopping it. Also, they shut down Oklahoma's run, they shut down Utah's...they have some good performances there, so I'm not too concerned. At the end of the day, I think they are a better defense, and they are more balanced on offense than Georgia Tech. I also think it's asking a lot for Tech to come out and beat a disciplined, solid team like Air Force considering the season they've had.

That's it for now...hopefully I'll have some more stuff later on.