Saturday, October 27, 2007

Week 9 Musings.

I greatly apologize but it appears I had difficulty when trying to post the week 8 musings, as well as the weekday musings for week 9. I don't think anybody really gives two shits, since they sucked it to the tune of 3-7 last week. The weekday musing this week was BC +3 which won, albeit very luckily.

Here is week 9, hopefully a bounceback.


Well, it appears as if we're off to a bad start this week. I'm not even bothering to wait for the end of this BC/VT abortion since I'll be waiting until 2012 for Matt Ryan to show that he has testicles. Heisman Trophy candidate? If that's the case, and this frightened of the dark, terrified of all things marroon and orange candy ass pussified queer is what our country comes up with as the top heisman candidate, we might as well just yank our pants down and surrender to France right now. Just stop with going to work, don't worry about watching the market, just shut down the country and march into the gas chamber. If BC is the #2 team in the country, let's just all kill ourselves right now. I am offended by this performance. I'm also still waiting for the Rockies to score another run. Hey assholes!!! One probably isn't going to be enough, ok???

OK. Wow. We won that one. Holy Shit. I guess it's ok to be a blubbering mass of vomit for 57 minutes if you're planning on being a combination Chuck Norris, Clint Eastwood and John Wayne all at once for the last 3.

While we're at it, can I ask a question about the without a doubt severely mentally retarded Les Miles? If you're playing blackjack, and you have 18, and the dealer has 17, do you hit? If the answer is yes, and you get a 3, do you have gigantic horse balls, or are you just a moron? Right, you're a moron. That LSU/Auburn game last weekend just reinforces my opinion that if football coaches didn't have programs to ruin, they would all be homeless. First of all, someone has to ask Tommy Tuberville why, with a minute left, up 1, with two timeouts, and LSU within chip shot field goal range, do you not call timeout on 2nd and 3rd down to save yourself some clock to do something in case LSU does what any partially sane person would do and kick the winning field goal? Perhaps he knew Miles would get confused and throw into the endzone for the winning touchdown with 1 second left? I'm guessing not, and nobody has been able to provide even a halfway plausible reason as to why he didn't do this. It was like battle of the network morons, with Miles out-moroning Tuberville, but through only dumb luck, he ended up pulling that three out of his rectum. There was so much stupidity flying at me from multiple directions that my head almost exploded. I don't think I can watch any more LSU games, seriously. Oh yeah, and that dickface refuses to cover too, just like every other piece of garbage faggot team I entrusted my hard earned money to last week. Can you tell I'm getting frustrated? Hey Ralph Freidgen! Thanks for getting pantsed by that lovable Neaderthal Al Groh in the last minute on your home field. Hey Bill Callahan! Get into the fetal position and wait for the mob scene to skewer your ass and display your rotting carcass to all who enter Lincoln.Shame on me for expecting your team to actually show a pulse this week. Hey Mike Gundy! Thanks for sucking it up and stopping the two point conversion with 2 minutes left that kept us from covering, you assface! Hey Ty Willingham, thanks for lying down and letting Oregon shit on your fans in your home stadium. Next time maybe they'll score 100! Hey Dan Hawkins, Paul Johnson, Les Miles, etc!! Go F yourselves!!!


On to this week:

2. Pitt +10 @ Louisville: This is obviously a huge risk, since I'll be putting my money in the hands of our old pal Wanny, but I think Louisville's shortcomings on defense match up well with Pitt. Pitt's offense has slowly been coming around this year, and I have definitely been impressed with their true freshman running back LeSean McCoy. He has been able to gouge out rushing yards against everyone on Pitt's schedule, most notably last week against Cincinnati. The Panthers carved out 260 yards on the ground against the Bearcats, and that is a definite accomplishment, since Cincy came into the game with a top 10 rush defense. Louisville, for whatever reason, has not been able to stop anyone at all on the ground at home. Utah came in 2 weeks ago and ran it down their throats for 260+, and they didn't even know they had a running game. Pitt's QB Pat Bostick is also a true freshman, but he has steadily improved as the season has gone on. Defensively, Pitt will obviously have their work cut out for them with Brohm and company, but they have been pretty stout on the year, allowing only 313 yards per game overall.

3. @Wisconsin -8 1/2 v Indiana: I think you can make a case for Indiana here, but I think the Hoosiers find themselves in a tough spot. In order to keep pace in this game, they are going to have to do 2 things: Move the ball on the overrated Wisconsin D pretty much on every drive, and figure out a way to stop the badger running game. At home, Indiana has hung tough(for them) defensively, allowing less than 400 yards. However, on the road, the Hoosiers haven't had any luck stopping anyone, giving up more than 450 yards on the road. Their offensive production falls off on the road as well. I do not like their chances of stopping Wisconsin in Camp Randall.Hell, even if they do, Wisconsin still seems to win going away in that hellhole. Wisconsin struggles against aggressive, physical defenses that will punch PJ Hill in the mouth. IU's D is the absolute antithesis of that.

4. @Tulane -1 1/2 v Mepis: First of all, Memphis is coming off a road victory, albeit one by the skin of their teeth against Rice. It's rather unlikely that they can figure out a way to do it twice in a row, especially going up against Matt Forte and Tulane's muscular running game. Memphis has given up more than 5 yards per carry on the season, and Tulane has been running it down people's throats over the past 3 weeks. In those games, all on the road, Tulane has outgained their opponents by 125 yards per game and averaged 6 yards per carry. Now they come home to face a team struggling to stop the run. Memphis has been able to chuck it pretty well this year, but Tulane hung tough at home defensively with LSU, playing aggressively enough to even record a safety on Matt Flynn in the end zone in that one. I think the huge advantage in the running game for Tulane will be the difference in this one, and It's possible that Bob Toledo has his offense rolling along now that he's had a chance to get used to his team.

5. Ohio St -3 1/2 @Penn St: This will be the third consecutive year that Penn St has played a huge showdown game on a Saturday night at home. 2 years ago, they knocked off Ohio St in a great game. Last year, Michigan came in and spoiled the party. The difference in those two games for Penn St was the QB play. In 2005, they had Michael Robinson, a QB athletic enough to to offset the speed that Ohio St had on defense, and a guy with a fair amount of gumption and intestinal fortitude. Last year, they had Anthony Morelli, who proved beyond a shadow of a doubt that he was completely incapable of leading the team to a big win. This year, it's Morelli again, this time against what is probably the best defense in the country. I have absolutely no confidence in this guy to lead in any meaningful way. When things are going well, and the running game is working, he's ok, but when the chips are down, he has shown no ability to get anything accomplished. Wet nap. There is no doubt that in order to win this one, he will have to make several plays inthe passing game. It won't happen. Ohio St has their hands full as well, since Penn St is stout on D, especially at home, but they have what I consider to be the most underrated offense in the country. If you look at their overall numbers, they are just as impressive as last year's if not moreso.

6. @Oregon St -13 1/2 v Stanford: Somehow, Jim Harbaugh has been able to get his team to compete in what has become a very strong league. They beat Arizona last week, which comes on the heels of that game that never actually happened. They've been able to hang, and even win despite getting outgained soundly every week. They can't run the ball, can't really throw it, can't stop the run, and get carved up in the passing game, as a 300+ passing game against by TCU at home would attest. This week, however, I think it will all catch up with them. Oregon St has an extremely good defense, especially at home. Much of the public has jumped on Stanford this week, looking at the spread and expecting the same result as the past couple of weeks, but Oregon St, with their improving passing game, solid running game and good defense is a bad matchup, esoecially since they've had a week off to digest the Cal victory.

7. Ball St +14 @ Illinois: Obviously, I hope I'm wrong about this one, since I'd like to see the Illini get back on track with a nice blowout win on homecoming, but shit, the Illini haven't won on homecoming since about 1983 or something, and many times it's been against patsies that you would think anyone could beat. Ball St is in some danger here, because they haven't been able to stop the run all season, and we know that the Illini can run it, but you would think that Western Illinois would have had a hard time too. And they did, but it only led to 21 points for the Illini. The fact remains that they cannot throw the ball with any effectiveness regularly. Here and there, yeah. In this game, they are going to have to put up 42 points to cover in my opinion, because Ball St is going to score on them. Illinois has struggled more than they should against the pass this year, playing a lazy cover two that has led to tons of 3rd and long conversions by the opponent. Even Iowa, with a passing game inferior to even the most sickly Pop Warner attacks was able to convert several key third downs. Illinois ranks 99th against the pass nationally, and Ball St ranks 11th in passing offense. The Illini are going to have to either score a lot more than they have lately, or stop the pass a lot better to cover this one. They should be on upset alert, because in my opinion, this is an entierly losable game for them if they aren't careful, and chances are they might just throw their helmets out there coming off the Michigan game.

8. USC +3 @Oregon: This is a game that should probably be laid off, but I can't help grabbing the opportunity to take points with USC. It's the first time it's been an option since 2003, so that tells you something right there. I have a feeling that USC will respond very well to being an underdog, probably having a little chuckle to themselves as they take the field. Obviously, Oregon's offense is fantastic, and they've admirably kept the pressure on despite losing some key guys on offense to injury. At the same time, USC has struggled on offense, but they've done so in ho-hum types of games. In this one, I can't imagine that they don't give Oregon their best effort. Defensively, this one is no contest. USC's D is miles ahead of Oregon's, and I think they will have just as much success, if not more against oregon's D than Oregon will have against them. I'll take the much better defense and the points every time, especially with USC. I just can't pass it up.

9. @Arkansas St +4 1/2 v Troy: Troy is the new darling of the SunBelt, if there is such a thing, as they are unbeaten in conference play after navigating through a brutal non conference schedule, highlighted by a thrashing of Oklahoma St early in the season,. Arkansas St, has also represented themselves well, winning a couple home games over bigger conference opponents. They also have teed it up with the big boys, having hung tough on the road with Tennessee and Texas. The Indians however have fallen out of favor due to some bad road performances in conference. In their only home game in conference however, they completely assaulted La La, piling up 600+ yards and stopping the run game that torched Troy the week before for 300+ yards on the ground. Troy, despite a successful campaign, has had all kinds of trouble stopping the run, and Arky St averages more than 5 per carry at home, while at the same time passing it effectively. As good as Arky St has been at home, gobbling up the 4 1/2 looks like a no brainer, especially since Troy hasn't been overly impressive defensively on the road.

10. @Arizona St -3 V Cal: Cal, despite their press clipings, really hasn't been that good this year. Arizona St, despite their lack of press clippings, really has. At home, Arizona St has outgained their opponents by more than 180 yards, while Cal has been outgained on the road by 80. Nate Longshore is hobbled, and Arizona st has playd a very aggressive brand of ball, so he'll likely have to make use of his other faculties to survive. Defensively, cal has been less than stout, so Arizona St's attack should be able to operate comfortably. The Sun Devils have quietly piled up an impressive resume, and this will be a good chance to let people know they are for real. I think Dennis Erickson has a profound effect as a coach. They'll probably get beat later on by Oregon or USC, or maybe both, but I don't think this Cal team, with a banged up Qb is the answer to beat them this week.

Others...... I think the OBC and his boys bounce back after the debacle at home last week with Vandy. They are getting 3 at UT, and they match up well with Tennessee's falccid defense.. Their running game has been quiet lately, but it remains entirely capable of running the ball down Tennessee's throats. At the same time, SC's defense has been good all year. Spurrier has dominated Fulmer, I'll take points with him in this spot when I can get them......I also have a feeling that Purdue follows up their domination of Iowa with a clunker and lets Northwestern move the ball at will. the spread is 13, so they'll have to figure out a way to stop the Cats, and not many people have been able to do that lately.....Eastern Michigan always seems to get up for Western Michigan and they're getting 5 1/2 at home against them this week. They have installed a new QB who looked good last week against NW, I think they can hang with a very disappointing Western Michigan squad.....UTEP gets Houston at home and is getting 3. The Cougs are solid offensively, but not on defense. Asking them to step it up against a good UTEP squad on the road might be a tad much....I have a feeling that UCLA comes off that win over Cal and clunks up in Pullman. They are laying 6, and WAZZOU, despite all kinds of trouble on the road, has put together some nice offensive performances at home. Alex Brink is effective, so UCLA will probably have to gather some points with their backup QB to cover......Wake's favored again against North carolina. (-5 1/2). I'll go with an improving UNC squad. Wake got lucky last week because Kupo Kookookaoloa Enhada Keepiapo got hurt in the first half when they were tied with navy, then the backup coughed it up an 3 straight possessions....I alsohave a hunch that NC St bites Virginia in the ass as a 4 point home dog. Virginia is now 7-1 for crying out loud. They are waaaaayyy overdue for a loss. I also like Kent to put up a lot of points on Central michigan and cover as a 3 point home dog. I have a feeling that A&M knocks off kansas too, despite a lot of evidence to the contrary.

That's it for this week. Lets see if we can return to competence.


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