Thursday, January 7, 2010

1/5-1/6 Musings

Again, sorry for the tardiness and posting after the fact.

nice work by Boise, but they were the better team all night. This one was a head scratcher. Not so much that Boise lost, but by how opposite TCU was compared to their whole season. Only 11 carries by TCU running backs? Didn't seem to make sense. Giid for Boise...they deserved to win. Add this to the pile of significant dogs that have covered. Gotta stop with the favorites at a TD or better.


Iowa +5 1/2 v Georgia Tech: Based on what I've been able to decipher, this game is pretty even. Ga Tech obviously has a good rushing offense, and a very solid offense overall, but iowa is good at stopping the things they like to do. iowa is smart and disciplined, and contrary to populat belief, they have a couple of very good athletes on that side of the ball. I think the key player for iowa is going to be S Tyler Sash, and he's a playmaker, having scored 3 tds on defense this year including the huge one against Indiana that led to the bloodletting cover failure. He's a good player, so the more he means, the better for Iowa. Offensively, Iowa hasn't been great, but they have balance and go up against a low pressure defense in Georgia tech. inmy opinion, the dog would be the play here regardless of who's favored, and especially at a somewhat significant number.

Troy +3 1/2 v Central Michigan: This matchup kind of reminds me of a B10 v SEC game. CMU has had a great season, but they lose their coach and have to drive all the way down to Mobile, right in Troy's backyard. Although CMU looks good on paper and has a great Qb in our guy LeFevour, the odds appear to be stacked against them. Troy's QB has been on fire lately, averaging 300+ pass yards per game, and they have all kinds of veterans who have been in bowl games before. This is more of a gut play, and a continued fade of the MAC, who is winless for the third season in a row. Like the speed matchup for Troy here.

I'll hopefully have some MNC thoughts for you before Thursday. Adios.

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