Weeknight degenerate special week 7

I'm not going to get in to recapping week 6 yet, as I'll get to that later. Not sure yet if I'll have anything for the rest of the weeknight games either, as it's mostly Big East stuff, though the Cincy/USF game looks pretty interesting to watch. I'm never all that excited about having an opinion on these Sun Belt games, but this one seems to make some sense.

1. @Louisiana Monroe -2 v Arkansas St: Over the years, I've had some affinity for Arkansas St. First, until they buckled under a preceived pressure that nobody likely cared enough about their program to exert, their name was the Indians, which was pretty cool in this day and age. Also, they seemed to consistently outgain their opponents, and even had a couple dominating performances against teams from conferences higher up on the food chain than the Sun Belt. However, in recent years, they have shit the bed in big spots, and have definitely not payed to their perceived level on the road in conference. In their last 10 Sun Belt road games, they are 2-8 ATS having lost 3 outright as favorites. One of those times was the last time they traveled to Monroe, where they lost by 17 as a 2 point favorite. Looking at the matchup, I give Monroe the edge in pretty much all the phases, but especially in the passing game, where Arky St is ranked 107th against the pass while Monroe has been successful running and passing against some pretty good defenses. I believe that Arky St is getting some pointspread respect due to their good performance at iowa, but remember that that game was a disaster of a spot for the Hawkeyes, and Iowa isn't really wired to blow people out anyway. My guess is that the Red Wolves(boo!) will lose by more here than they did at Iowa. We've got the better team at home against a team that struggles on the road in conference and we only have to lay 2. I'm a buyer.