More Musings (Bowls)

3 consecutive laughable losses bring the bowl musings to 1-4. Over the past couple of days, we've seen North Carolina's defense completely forget to show up for their game with a mediocre Missouri squad, getting blown out in the process, we've seen Western Michigan commit 7, yes 7 turnovers plus 2 onside kicks to Purdue yet still have a chance on their last drive to win the game outright, and I got beat by a homosexual quarterback. (Mike Glennon). Not just a latent, under the radar homosexual, mind you, but an effete' flaming, aggressively effeminate makeup wearing, cross dressing homo. So our start in the bowls has not been good.

Tonight are two games I'll be playing, but only one can be justified as a numbered musing.. First, now that Notre Dame is getting more than a FG (3.5 and even 4 in some places), I think there's value in them. Florida State has decent offensive numbers, but mostly only in games in which they completely overmatched their opponents. ND has played a much tougher schedule than FSU, and statistically, the two teams are pretty much even. I actually think ND's defense will have the edge over FSU's offense, and ND has a much better chance to move the ball through the air. Having said all that, I have a hard time seeing ND actually sack up and get things done in this game, especially in Florida against a Seminole team that will undoubtedly be salivating at the sight of those gold helmets. The public is all over FSU though, and to me it seems a bit unwarranted. There's value on ND........

6. Baylor -9.5 v Washington: When I originally saw this line, I figured I would be on Washington for sure. But after looking hard at this one, I really have to go with laying the points here. Baylor is coming off probably the best year the program has had in 50 years, with a 9-3 record and a Heisman Trophy winner. From all accounts that I have read, they are looking at this game as the biggest one in years for their program because they want to cap off the season correctly and maybe jump into the top ten. They are also playing in Texas, and are coming off an embarrassing bowl performance last year in which Illinois blew them out 38-14. Washington really has no such motivation, as they are merely 7-5 and have limped to the finish line after a promising 6-2 start. Their defense is atrocious, and they'll be facing the top offense statistically in the nation in a dome on a fast track. On the flip side, Baylor's defense is almost as bad,(they are 112th in ypc against the run)and Washington's balanced offense can score under Sarkisian, but a close look at box scores shows that Baylor's run defense has been gashed more by running QBs than by running backs, and teams don't run agaisnt them all that much because the games turn into shootouts. 9.5 is a lot of points, but when there figures to be somewhere around 85 points scored in the game, 9 doesn't make that much of a difference. I can easily see a 52-31 type game here. There's a big motivation advantage for Baylor, they are playing in their back yard, and I can't see any scenario where Washington's defense has any success against them. Baylor has had problems on special teams this year, but as long as they don't give up any scores in that phase, I don't think they'll have any problem.