Wednesday, September 30, 2009

Week 5 Weeknight Musings

Hawaii +5 1/2 @Louisiana Tech: Generally this is an interesting week because some teams don't venture on the road until they reach conference play, and the results from their cozy home appearances can be taken with a grain of salt. In this case, Hawaii has been living on the road, so we can look with full confidence at their results. I'd even venture to say that there is risk in backing Hawaii here because of their travel situation. This has to be the longest road trip made by any team in the country that's made somewhat regularly. However, having said that, the difference between these teams looks substantial in my opinion. Hawaii is the number 1 pass efficiency offense in the country, and ranks #1 in total offense as well, and it isn't even all that close, as they average a half yard more per play than anyone else. They've done it against UNLV and Washington St, both on the road. Neither is a heavyweight, but WAZZOu especially isn't as bad as last year, despite the likely end result of their record. la Tech has been and remains a work in process in pass defense. I think they'll struggle to stop Greg Salas the WR for the "bows, and they'll likely have to outscore Hawaii in order to win this. I think the wrong team is favored here, and the points have gotten significant. I'll take the 5 1/2.

More to come later....

No comments: